Fantasy Basketball: Analyzing Impression Of The Blake Griffin Commerce

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Tuesday’s excessive temperature in Detroit will likely be 24 levels, a stark 61 levels decrease than the forecast in Los Angeles. In different phrases, Blake Griffin had higher start stockpiling winter gear.

The commerce of Griffin (together with throw-ins Brice Johnson and Willie Reed) to the Pistons in alternate for Tobias Harris, Avery Bradley and Boban Marjanovic formally blows up what was left of the “Golden Years” of Clippers basketball.

Griffin will not be the final participant to flee from LA because the crew is overtly discussing the prospects of shifting All-Star heart DeAndre Jordan and guard Lou Williams earlier than the February eight commerce deadline, a state of affairs that would make the likes of Austin Rivers and Sam Dekker viable Fantasy choices. Oh, what an age we stay in.

From a Fantasy perspective, I do not count on a lot to alter for Griffin, as he’ll turn out to be Detroit’s high offensive possibility from the second he dons his new uniform. Nevertheless, there are indicators that recommend Fantasy homeowners ought to observe the Clippers’ lead and discover him a brand new dwelling quickly.

Griffin’s utilization price is a career-best 28.9 %, a complete that at most might drop a degree or two as he adjusts to enjoying in coach Stan Van Gundy’s extra deliberate offensive scheme. Detroit is ranked 21st in tempo issue, which is greater than only a hop, skip and a leap from LA’s 11th-ranked tempo. A part of the attraction of including Griffin is the hope that he can inject some life in a crew that’s 20th in offensive score and 24th in common factors per recreation. The glitz and glamour of life in Lob Metropolis is now changed by the grits and dirt that can are available in enjoying for Detroit.

Griffin is averaging 22.6 factors per recreation, but, his discipline purpose proportion has been in a gradual freefall over the previous 4 seasons. It is gone from 50.2 % in 2014-15 to his present 44.1 %. The decline has been accelerated by Griffin’s elevated fetish for taking pictures threes, as he’s averaging 5.7 makes an attempt past the arc per night time, greater than double the 1.9 makes an attempt Griffin averaged final season. It might be one factor if Griffin was connecting at a decent clip, however his 34.2 % accuracy (profession 31.6 %) will seemingly see some curving of kinds from Van Gundy because the Pistons are 18th in Three-point makes an attempt per recreation.

Griffin’s declining rebound numbers are much more discouraging. He has not averaged double-digit boards since 2011-12, and he’s knocking down a mere 7.9 rebounds per recreation this season. His rebounding price of 12.7 % is a career-low, and at 28-years-old with a physique that has appreciable mileage, Griffin’s totals could proceed to slip as he struggles to play within the extra bodily Jap Convention.

In common Fantasy Basketball, Griffin ought to have a “SELL HIGH” signal that is geared up with flashing pink lights. Whereas he stays an above-average producer, his numbers are trending downward. In any case, his taking pictures woes can solely improve the rebounding price of recent teammate, Andre Drummond, whose worth ought to get a gentle jolt from Griffin’s passing. Do not be too fooled by Griffin’s 20.70 Participant Effectivity Ranking. Whereas he has by no means recorded a sub-20 PER in his profession, his present whole is a career-low.

As for his DFS potential, I might wait a recreation or three to see how he adjusts to his new climes. He enters the week at $eight,600 on DraftKings, and he did document 58 Fantasy factors in Sunday’s recreation on the Pelicans. Griffin has scored no less than 40 FP in 5 of his final seven video games and has dipped under 30 FP simply twice this season. With the liberty to make use of him when the temper strikes, Griffin’s worth is larger in DFS codecs.

Harris seemed like a possible All-Star in his first 20 video games however has tailed off since. Although he is averaging 18.2 factors per recreation this month, Harris is taking pictures a paltry 43.2 % from the sphere and 31 % from past the arc. He ought to profit from enjoying with a extra liberal offense in LA, which is ninth in offensive score, and he ought to see his 14.eight discipline purpose makes an attempt per recreation climb within the brief time period, because the Clippers’ second scoring possibility behind Williams. The eventual return of Danilo Gallinari would additionally current him with extra wide-open seems to be, as defenses will search to break down protection on Gallinari and Williams. (no less than whereas the latter stays on the town)

Harris did maintain a left ankle damage in Sunday’s loss to the Cavaliers, but, the damage should not maintain him from enjoying. He is $6,600 at FanDuel and he sprinkles in a 30 FP recreation occasionally. He had consecutive 40 FP outings earlier this month, but he is had only one 30-plus FP efficiency in his final 5 video games.

Bradley is averaging 15 factors per recreation however is taking pictures slightly below 41 % from the sphere. He averages 1.2 steals per recreation however his lack of consistency on the offensive finish of the ground is the important thing behind his 10.01 PER. If Williams is traded, Bradley might bounce between both guard place, maybe sharing time with Milos Teodosic on the level.

Monday’s commerce caught most Fantasy homeowners flat-footed, however with Griffin gone and a number of playoff contenders who might use both Jordan or Williams, count on the Clippers to steal the sports activities highlight as soon as once more earlier than February eight.

 
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