Let’s go Browns, and let’s go Colts.
The Giants’ gamers received’t be draft board watching this Christmas weekend, however their entrance workplace, followers and potential normal managers and head coaches certain might be. And wins by each Cleveland and Indianapolis assist Large Blue.
The Giants (2-12), who would choose No. 2 choose in April’s draft if the season ended immediately, nonetheless have an opportunity to leap Cleveland for the No. 1 general choose but in addition may slide again behind Indianapolis into No. Three or worse.
All of it is dependent upon the outcomes of Weeks 16 and 17, and never simply whether or not the Browns (Zero-14), Giants (2-12) and Colts (Three-11) win or lose. Your entire league’s schedule may impression the draft order, as a result of if two groups end with an similar common season file, the tiebreaker is energy of schedule.
So if the Giants and Browns each end 2-14, the No. 1 choose will go to the crew that performed the schedule with the bottom profitable proportion. The identical goes if the Giants and Colts each end Three-13: the crew that performed the schedule with the decrease profitable proportion might be awarded the upper choose.
That is assuming that the Giants end with solely two or three wins on the season and don’t beat each Arizona on Christmas Eve and Washington on New Yr’s Eve to complete Four-12. In the event that they try this, they might topple right into a logjam of present four-win groups that at present consists of the Houston Texans, Chicago Bears, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and San Francisco 49ers.
So listed here are the eventualities, beginning with the No. 1 general choose:
BECOMING BROWNS FANS
Cleveland hasn’t clinched the No. 1 choose but as a result of if the the Browns and Giants each end with 2-14 common season information, the Giants conceivably may have the weaker energy of schedule and subsequently get the upper choose and bump the Browns to No. 2.
The chances that Cleveland wins each of its subsequent two video games aren’t nice, and that’s the one manner the Giants can get the No. 1 choose. The Browns are on the highway on the Bears and Steelers, and Pittsburgh most likely received’t be resting gamers in Week 17 as a result of at that time, the Steelers doubtless nonetheless might be enjoying for one thing: both difficult New England for homefield benefit or heading off Jacksonville for a first-round bye.
But when the Browns someway do win each video games and the Giants lose each of theirs and each groups end 2-14, it’s on to energy of schedule. And the Giants nonetheless can win that tiebreaker.
Getting into Week 16, the Browns’ full slate of opponents have a .513 profitable proportion (115 wins, 109 losses). The file of the Giants’ opponents is simply barely higher at a .526 profitable proportion (118 wins, 106 losses). These numbers will swing dramatically not simply based mostly on the Browns’ and Giants’ personal outcomes however on wins and losses from all the groups on each their schedules.
So making up a couple of proportion factors wouldn’t be tough and the Giants aren’t out of the No. 1 general choose sweepstakes. However first, they want the Browns to win. Cleveland is at Chicago at 1 p.m. ET on Christmas Eve, three hours previous to the Giants’ recreation in Arizona in opposition to the Cardinals.
GIANTS: CONTROLLING THEIR OWN DESTINY AT NO. 2
The Giants have made it clear they aren’t tanking a.okay.a. dropping on function. However they might assure themselves the No. 2 choose at worst by dropping each of their remaining video games. At 2-14, they might solely have the No. 1 or No. 2 choose, relying on the Browns’ outcomes and energy of schedule tiebreaker defined above.
GO COLTS, TOO
Giants followers can get their cheering in a full day earlier than Large Blue faces the Cardinals on Sunday afternoon. The primary recreation of Week 16, a Saturday afternoon Four:30 p.m. ET kickoff between the Indianapolis Colts and Baltimore Ravens on NFL Community, additionally impacts whether or not the Giants will maintain on to the No. 2 general choose.
The Colts proper now personal the tiebreaker with a a lot worse energy of schedule (.486 profitable proportion; 109 wins, 115 losses) than the Giants’ (.526 profitable proportion; 118 wins, 106 losses). So the Giants wish to keep away from ending with Indy on the finish of the 12 months.
An Indy win over Baltimore would give the Colts 4 wins on the season to the Giants’ two getting into Sunday’s recreation in Arizona, rising the probability that the Giants would keep at No. 2 at worst. However a Colts loss and a Giants win this weekend would give each groups a Three-12 file getting into Week 17, and the Giants can be in jeopardy of falling to No. Three general and even additional, relying on if Large Blue received its common season finale what the four-win groups do.
Lastly, if the Giants end with the identical file because the Browns or Colts and their strengths of schedule are similar, the subsequent tiebreaker is their information in opposition to frequent opponents of their division or convention. And if the divisional or convention tiebreakers aren’t relevant, the tie can be damaged by a coin flip.
That’s proper. A coin flip. Higher to lose and never let some free change dictate the Giants’ destiny.